It's looking ugly if you're a fan of the Capitals.
Down 3-1, with only eight goals in four games and up against a possessed Henrik Lundqvist in net, few are going to predict an improbable comeback. And back over to whowins.com we go ...
When underdog teams start a series 3-1, they have a 75-10 series record all-time in the NHL playoffs. The good news, however, is that they have just a 38-47 record in Game 5, meaning that the odds are we'll be back in New York for Game 6 on Sunday (on NBC).
So, historically anyway, there's an 11.8 per cent chance the Capitals recover.
I can't recall a single pundit picking the Rangers going in, but after four games, it doesn't appear to be the greatest of matchups for Ovechkin and Co. For one, with Lundqvist playing like this, what the Caps really need is some sort of a crease crasher in front of the net and that's a hole in what is a largely finesse-filled lineup. The Hurricanes, with what they've been doing on Marty Brodeur in their series, would likely have had more luck sneaking a few by the Rangers netminder.
Yes, it looks pretty bleak for Washington. They've out shot New York by an average of 37-25 to this point, and can't hope for more on that front, but do need more from the likes of Mike Green (who may win the Norris after flaming out in the playoffs given that ballots have already been submitted).
If they can't turn it around? Well, there go my playoff pools ... and the only solace is that no one, anywhere, took the Rangers to get even this far. And, for that, you've got to tip your hat to King Henrik.